I've posted this already up in the comments at the Liberal Conspiracy blog, but I thought it's worth repeating here.
There’s a strong argument for understanding modern politics less as an expression of tribal loyalties and more as an ordering of preferences where we fundamentally vote *against* something than for it.
The most interesting bit of polling evidence I’ve seen in this election is this:
I wouldn’t draw any snap conclusions from it, but if you were to ask me what the outcome could be, it may be that a perceived closeness between Labour and the Lib Dems allied to the likelihood of a hung parliament – may actually get some people who wouldn’t vote Labour to do so on the understanding that it will contribute to the most popular outcome of this election: A hung parliament with a lib-lab coalition.
Now, if Gordon could be persuaded to let it be known that he would regard anything less than an outright Labour victory as a personal defeat and that he wouldn’t seek to lead Labour in the event of a coalition, you could kill the ‘Vote Clegg Get Brown’ fear at a stroke. It could attract huge numbers of reluctant Labour voters as well as tactical voters in our historic mission to deny the Tories power at all costs.
One bit of self-sacrifice from Gordon could potentially destroy the modern Conservative Party and position Labour as the most powerful party in an anti-Tory coalition for a generation!
Makes you think, eh?