For the last two weeks, I've been projecting Forest's end-of-season placings by extrapolating the form shown over the last five games forward. Up until now, I've been calling it 'promotion inevitability watch' on the understanding that - if we get into the play-off - we're bound to go up.
So far, this has been the desperate work of a perennial optimist. Privately, I've been happy to concede that even a play-off place is a long-shot. The first week I did it, I showed that 6th place was technically possible (but massively optimistic).
Last week I had the audacity to speculate that 5th or 6th place could be possible.
All that has changed now. Even pessimists are beginning to concede that - on current form - anything less than a playoff place will represent a cruel collapse in form. Though we're currently in 8th place - two points off the top six, our form suggests that the final table will look something like this:
1st: Southend: 87pts
2nd: Huddersfield: 75pts
3rd: Forest: 74pts
4th: Brentford: 74pts
5th: Colchester: 72-3pts
6th: Swansea: 69pts
7th: Barnsley: 66pts
8th: Oldham: 70pts
On the question of Goal Difference, Forest are already outstripping Huddersfield and Brentford only have a four-goal advantage - one that will surely be overturned on current form (which is why I've put us in third, not fourth place).
And I'd say that one point is a reasonable margin of error, wouldn't you? Given our fantastic recent form - and the dreadful run that all of the others are having, even second place must now be in our sights.
I think I'm going to be sick.